Dow Rises 300 Points
August 16, 2019 New York. Dow Jones rose 300 points as the bond yield rises; but, investors continue to monitor the US – China trade negotiations.
August 16, 2019 10:45 AM. All sectors are in the positive side lead by the Health Care sector at +.90% change followed by the Financial sector at +.86 with The technology sector having +.84% change. All other sectors are all in the positive side.
August 15, 2019. Retail sales, a Messier of consumer purchase for retail, online and restaurant sales climbed by .7%. A good news to the market compared to yesterday’s bond market warning of a slow down. This will give the market a breather for now. But still expect market volatility after China vows to retaliate for tariffs that are expected to take effects in the coming weeks.
August 15, 2019. 10:50 AM New York time. Market Seems to be mix, with consumer staple +.70%, consumer discretionary +.49, and Communications +.10% sectors are at positive range. While the rest of the sectors renain at a Neutral range.
The following companies are closely monitored by Maharlika Funds, Jade Securities and the Acropolis Group:
- Stocks: JAJO, FMAN, MJSD, Monthly Dividend Paying Stocks, Monthly Dividend Paying ETFS
- Dividend Kings
- Dividend Aristocrats
- Mutual Funds
January 3, 2019 – Manila. Each Portfolio Manager or Investor have their own Investment Criterias that they follow. Some may be more successful than others. Having a portfolio criteria or portfolio goal helps fund managers focus on their investment decisions and helps investors understand where their investments are going. The following criteria is used by the Maharlika Funds in Managing it´s portfolios:
- CONSISTENCY TEST on Dividend Payout – Companies that should be included in the portfolio should have a minimum of five years dividend payout history that is consistent. More than Ten to fifteen years of consistent dividend payout is preferred. The amount of dividend paid out should be lower than the Earnings Per Share each year.
- SUSTAINABILITY TEST – Earnings Per Share (EPS) – EPS for each year should be higher than the dividend amount paid out each year. If the EPS is lower than the dividends paid out each year, the amount of dividends payout will not be sustainable in the long run. It maybe sustainable in the short term but not in the long term. The price of the stock tends to go down when this happens.
- RISK TEST – BETA – Beta is one of the things we looked at since this measures risk and volatility (Standard Deviation). Companies with Betas between 0 to 1.5 are considered in our portfolios.
- EARNINGS TEST – Price Earnings Ratio (P/E)- The price of the Stock is compares with the earnings of the company. Companies with PE ratios from 10 to 50 times earnings are considered in our portfolios.
- TRADING VOLUME – Companies that have good average trading volumes are preferred since this is linked to the demand and volatility of the stock price. The lower the trading volume of the stock the less active the stock is thus easy to buy the stock but hard to disposed the stock on profit.
- GROWTH TEST – REVENUE GROWTH TEST – The higher the revenue of the company the better. Companies should atleast have a revenue growth of 10% each year. A period of 5 to ten year period growth should be looked at to see the stability of the company.
- GROWTH TEST – NET INCOME – a positive net income is is preferred. A period of 5 to 10 year growth period should also be looked at to see the stability of the company
- LIQUIDITY TEST – To test hos liquid the company is we look at the Current Ratio and the Debt to Equity Ratio. These are the ratios that looked at how the company is loaded with Debts and Liabilities. The higer the Debt is the higher the risk the company´s insolvency.
Using the above tests are some of the items we look at before adding a company to our portfolios.
Posted originally on: November 16, 2018. Manila. Revision Date: August 11, 2019
Analyst, financial planners, investment planners or a simple investor a like have their own personal preferences when in comes to their investment criterias. Picking the investment criteria may be based on different factors such as age, economic situation of an individual, weather, risk tolerance of an individual, or even personal preferences to mention a few. Some investors just jump right in without thinking and others over analyze to the point they miss the opportunity of the market momentum. Having a method in analyzing your portfolio is a good start in order to successfully manage it.
The following research method or process is a sample used in analyzing and making decisions in our portfolios:
- Top Down Analysis
- Economic Analysis
- Market Indices (Dow Jones, NASDAQ, S& P, Russell and others)
- Federal Rates and economic policies
- Price of Gold,
- Treasury Rates
- payroll rates and unemployment
- Industry Analysis –
- Segmentation Analysis,
- Competition Analysis,
- Complimentary Product Analysis,
- Business Cycle (Question Mark, Star, Cash Cow and Dogs)
- Economic Analysis
- Financial And Technical Analysis
- Income Statement, Balance Sheets, Cash Flows
- Ratio Analysis
- Technical Analysis
- Dividend Sustainability DIVIDEND PER SHARE SHOULD ALWAYS BE HIGHER THAN EARNINGS PER SHARE for long term sustainability
- Research Materials from Financial Institution Brokers and Partners (Not Disclosed Due to Security Reasons) research materials
- research materials
- upgrades and downgrades
- earnings release
- ipo calendars
- Newspapers and Media (make sure the news feeds are timely and reliable)
- WallStreet Journal
- Dun and Bradstreet
- IBD – Investors Business Daily
Having an investment criteria or method in place allows investors and individuals to properly evaluate each investment opportunities and be able to decide properly and on a timely basis.
There are two ways to earn in the stock market, Capital Appreciation (Capital Gains) and Dividend Payout. Capital Appreciation or Capital Gains is the increase in the stock price since the stock was bought (current price of the stock mind purchase price). Dividend Payout on the other hand is when the company elects to pay out a sum of money to the shareholders for each share an investor holds. Not all companies payout dividends.
Investors should understand that the dividend payout can change at anytime and should be ready to make quick decisions when this happens because this could also affect the price of the stock and could affect the capital gains
Following are some of the things to look for in analyzing a company´s Dividend Payout Sustainability:
- High Dividend Yield – Watch out for high dividend yields. Investors who are worried about dividends being cut or discontinued usually starts to sell their stock holdings in the company. This pushes the dividend yield higher.
- Dividend Yield Ratio
- Debt Load – Companies that are highly leverage compared to their peers in the industry in the long run may trigger the company to cut their dividend pay to their investors.
- Debt to Equity Ratio
- Poor Fundamentals – Look if the revenue or net income is higher than the dividends being paid out. Companies that are paying dividends higher than the companies earnings per share tend to cut dividends in the long run.
- Earnings Per Share
- Revenue Growth
- Dividend Per Share
There are other fundamentals that should be considered but knowing the warning signs by using the above analysis should be a good start.